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Winter 2025-2026 Predictive Seasonal Outlook for Energy Traders & Utilities
This 2025-2026 winter deep dive offers a detailed outlook of the macro-weather trends that will influence energy production and demand between September 1 to November 30, 2025.
Among these are weather patterns that deviate from the norm–including temperatures, precipitation levels and wind speeds–which will impact energy usage across all zones: SPP, MISO North, PJM, NYISO, CAISO and ERCOT
Some of the Trends Expected This Winter:
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Temperature: Widespread risk for above-normal temperatures across the U.S. and Europe, strongest in the Southwest, Mexico, and central Europe.
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Precipitation: Drier-than-normal conditions expected in the southern U.S. and Iberia, with wetter anomalies in the Pacific Northwest and far northern Europe.
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Wind: Below-normal wind speeds across the eastern U.S. and parts of western Europe (France, Spain), with near-normal to slightly stronger winds in the Northern Plains.
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Solar: Near to above-normal solar irradiance across most regions, strongest in the central U.S.