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Fall 2025 Predictive Seasonal Outlook for Energy Traders & Utilities
This 2025 seasonal outlook offers a detailed outlook of the macro-weather trends that will influence energy production and demand between September 1 to November 30, 2025.
Among these are weather patterns that deviate from the norm–including temperatures, precipitation levels and wind speeds–which will impact energy usage across all zones: SPP, MISO North, PJM, NYISO, CAISO and ERCOT
Some of the Trends Energy Traders and Grid Operators Can Expect This Fall:
- Late-season warmth will lead to demand volatility and gas market sensitivity.
- Drier than normal fall will reduce hydropower potential and influence trading in ethanol and gas blends.
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Lower wind speeds will increase reliance on natural gas and day-ahead price volatility.
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Stronger than usual solar irradiance will help offset wind generation shortfalls.